Schedule

Tuesday, March 27

8:30 AM: Continental Breakfast
9:00 AM - 12:15 PM: Conference Sessions
12:15 PM - 1:15 PM: Lunch
1:15 PM - 5:00 PM: Conference Sessions
5:00 PM - 6:30 PM: Reception with no-host bar and technology partner demonstrations
6:30 - 8:30 PM: Optional Networking Dinner (off-site)

Wednesday, March 28 
8:30 AM: Continental Breakfast
9:00 AM - 12:15 PM: Conference Session
12:15 PM - 1:15 PM: Lunch
1:00 PM - 5:00 PM: Conference Session 

Location

Loring Ward Corporate Office
10 Almaden Boulevard, 15th Floor
San Jose, CA 95113
Map


Registration Details

Fees: 

  • Government/Academic: $650
  • (must use a current .gov, .mil, or .edu email address to qualify, no alumni accounts)
  • General: $1500

30% discount for additional attendees from the same organization. Contact Melissa Kirmse for the discount code.

  • Cancellations received by Friday, March 2, 2018 will receive a full refund. No refunds will be given for cancellations received after Friday, March 2, 2018. Cancellations must be made in writing to Melissa Kirmse at melissa@probabilitymanagement.org. Substitutions to this event are welcome in lieu of cancellations.

Registration includes access to:

  • SIPmath™ Enterprise Software Tools (a $500 value)
  • General Sessions
  • Continental Breakfasts, Networking Breaks, and Networking Luncheons
  • Onsite Agenda and Meeting Materials
  • Post-event Online Speaker Proceedings (if released by speaker)

Hotel Reservations

Attendees are responsible for making their own guestroom reservations by contacting the hotel directly. We do not have a room block reserved, but several nearby hotels are listed below along with their distance from the Loring Ward offices.

Hotel De Anza (141 feet; 1 minute walk)
233 W Santa Clara St.
San Jose, CA 95113  
Reservations | 800-843-3700

AC Hotel by Marriott (.1 mile; 3 minute walk)
350 W Santa Clara St.
San Jose, CA 95113
Reservations408-924-0900

Hyatt Place San Jose (.3 mile; 8 minute walk)
282 Almaden Boulevard
San Jose, CA 95113
Reservations | 844-291-1579

Fairmont San Jose (.4 mile; 8 minute walk)
170 S Market St.
San Jose, CA 95113
Reservations408-998-1900

Networking Dinner

We are hosting a networking dinner after the reception on the evening of March 27 at the Old Spaghetti Factory, a short walk from the Loring Ward offices. The dinner is open to all conference attendees including speakers. Space is limited so reserve your spot early.

Contact

Melissa Kirmse
ProbabilityManagement.org
melissa@probabilitymanagement.org
 

2018 Annual Conference 

Standardizing Risk
March 27 - 28, 2018

Read Abstracts

Featured Speakers


Christine Cowsert Chapman
Senior Director of Asset Management & System Operations at Pacific Gas & Electric

Ann Dunkin
CIO of the County of Santa Clara and former CIO of the United States Environmental Protection Agency


Doug Hubbard
President of Hubbard Decision Research and author of How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk
Jack Jones
Co-Founder and EVP R&D of RiskLens and Chairman of the FAIR Institute

Harry Markowitz
Nobel Laureate and ProbabilityManagement.org Board Member (via web)
Steve Roemerman
Chairman and CEO of Lone Star Analysis, Inc.

Sam Savage
Executive Director of ProbabilityManagement.org and author of The Flaw of Averages

Also Featuring:

  • Mike Jerbic, Lecturer at San Jose State University
  • Tom Keelin, Managing Partner, Keelin Reeds Partners
  • John Scruggs, Vice President of Research at Loring Ward
  • Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo, Manager, Information Security Governance at Surescripts LLC

About the Conference

Keeping uncertainty visible through simulation lets diverse stakeholders assess the situation according to their own risk attitudes, allowing them to make well informed risk management decisions. The open SIPmath™ standard has enabled this approach in the modeling of operational risk, and has just been applied to an implementation of the Open Factor Analysis of Information Risk standard (Open FAIR™) to quantify cybersecurity risk.

This conference explores these and other standards that facilitate the adoption of simulated risk management in an effort to better serve diverse stakeholders.

Register before January 31 for early registration discount. Registration includes the SIPmath Enterprise Tools for Windows, a $500 value.

Full List of Conference Presentations & Panel Discussions

Conference Presentations:

  • An Integrated Approach to Managing Uncertainty around Cybersecurity Risks - Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo, Manager, Information Security Governance, Surescripts LLC
  • Best Practices in Risk Analytics - Steve Roemerman, Chairman and CEO of Lone Star Analysis, Inc.
  • The Components of Risk and How to Measure Them - Doug Hubbard, President of Hubbard Decision Research and author of How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk 
  • Powering Risk Management with Metalog Distributions - Tom Keelin, Managing Partner, Keelin Reeds Partners
  • Probability Management Overview - Sam Savage, Executive Director of ProbabilityManagement.org and author of The Flaw of Averages
  • Progress Towards the Game of Life - Harry M. Markowitz, Harry Markowitz Co. (via web meeting)
  • The Open Factor Analysis of Information Risk, a Standard for Cyber Risk - Mike Jerbic, Lecturer in the Department of Economics at San Jose State University 
  • Quantifying Information Risk: A FAIR way from Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt (FUD) - Christopher T. Carlson, CISSP, President, C T Carlson LLC
  • Risk Analysis: From Chaos to Consistency - Jack Jones, Co-Founder and EVP R&D, RiskLens
  • SIPmath Modeler Tools for Excel - Sam Savage
  • Standardizing Risk at PG&E Gas Operations - Christine Cowsert Chapman, Senior Director, Asset Management and System Operations, Pacific Gas and Electric Company
  • Technology Risk in the Public Sector: Can it be Managed? - Ann Dunkin, CIO of the County of Santa Clara and former CIO of the United States Environmental Protection Agency
  • Withdrawal Flexibility: The Missing Link for Sustainable Retirement Income - John Scruggs, Vice President of Research, Loring Ward 
 Panel Discussions:
  • Standardizing Risk
  • Best Practices in Risk Analytics

What You Will Learn

  • How organizations are standardizing their approach to risk management.
  • How the open SIPmath™ standard can serve as a foundation for your risk management discipline.
  • How to recognize best practices in managing uncertainty.

Who Should Attend?

  • Senior decision-makers in industry and government who must make plans in the face of uncertainty.
  • Risk Management professionals, including FAIR practitioners.
  • Simulation users, in particular those familiar with Oracle Crystal Ball, @RISK, Frontline Solvers, and Analytica.