TOPIC: The Nuts & Bolts of Probabilistic Modeling (and why it’s awesome)
SPEAKER: Reuben Cozmyer
DATE: Wednesday, October 30th, 2019
TIME: 11:30 a.m. Social
12:00 p.m. Lunch
12:30 p.m. Presentation
LOCATION: Nick and Jake's on Main – 5031 Main St Kansas City, MO 64112
MEAL:
MAIN
Pear Pollo Pecan Salad
Bourban Salmon
Chardonnay Chicken
DESSERT
Chocolate Cake
Carrot Cake
COST: $30.00 for ASCE/EWRI members. $15.00 for ASCE/EWRI student and retired members. Fee includes 1 main dish, 1 dessert, and 1 drink. Please make checks payable to ASCE.
DETAILS: Monte Carlo sampling can be used to develop flood inundation probabilities and structure-based risk assessments informing insurance rates, mitigation efforts, and emergency preparedness. This process accounts for uncertainty in precipitation amounts and patterns, structure type and elevation, and levee integrity by creating hundreds to thousands of 2D hydraulic models with differing assumptions. One objective is to open the “black box” of statistics and demonstrate that this process, though rooted in randomness, is indeed traceable and reproducible.
BIO: Reuben Cozmyer has worked for AECOM for 8 years and is the Engineering Manager in the Kansas City office. He is a licensed PE and CFM and received his BS and MS in Civil Engineering from the University of Kansas. Outside of work, he enjoys cycling and serves on the Planning Commission for the City of Merriam.
Please RSVP by Wednesday, October 23rd, 2019.
Registration can be completed by clicking the link below.
Questions: Takuya Jay Inoue (ewrikansascity@gmail.com)
For additional announcements and more information about the EWRI Kansas City chapter please visit: http://www.kcengineers.org/ewrikc/ewrikc.html.